A股收盘复盘
MARKET CLOSE · 2026-09-02

震荡轮动
但容错率下降

指数普跌,成长方向承压;涨停仍有52家,但炸板15家、跌停8家,高位题材出现明显分化。

风险 偏高建议仓位 3—5成可信度 中等(市场广度缺失)
50MARKET PULSE情绪中枢

今日一句话

2026-09-02 17:05 CST

CORE READ

指数弱,题材没有全面退潮

成长指数领跌,昨日涨停平均收益为负;但涨停数量仍处活跃区间。明日重点不是猜指数反弹,而是观察高位股负反馈是否收敛。

POSITION3—5成

分歧承接优先,禁止后排追高。

RISK FLAG

15家炸板

炸板率 22.4%,高位一致性下降。

指数矩阵

价格、日涨跌与盘中区间

上证指数000001
-0.97%
3,941.39
3,965.813,932.258,354亿
深证成指399001
-1.88%
13,611.55
13,732.1813,549.779,558亿
创业板指399006
-2.39%
3,312.24
3,348.693,296.484,421亿
科创50000688
-1.82%
1,617.60
1,635.761,607.19643亿
沪深300000300
-1.38%
4,547.96
4,583.274,534.394,747亿
中证500000905
-1.65%
7,729.23
7,783.057,692.153,073亿
中证1000000852
-1.40%
7,583.76
7,624.717,539.083,687亿

市场脉搏

短线情绪不是指数的同义词

涨停52
炸板15
跌停8
最高连板4
昨涨停均值-0.76%
4板2家
3板4家
2板7家
1板39家
市场广度未入模

涨跌家数接口当次返回502。页面保留缺口,不用猜测值填充。

评分可信度:中等

市场主线题材

跨行业题材归因 · 5日持续性 · 龙头梯队 · 次日验证

今日主线:AI基础设施 / 液冷

跨行业聚合同花顺涨停原因;结合5日涨停覆盖、当日宽度、连板高度与开板结构评分。个股可跨题材重复计入。 结构分用于横向比较题材强弱,不代表未来收益率。历史板块资金缺失时不计资金分。

01主线延续 / 分化

AI基础设施 / 液冷

92结构强度
涨停 9高度 3板活跃 5/5日持续性 90
1708-27
1408-28
2308-31
209-01
909-02

近5日涨停覆盖

核心梯队与次日验证
  • 高度核心集泰股份3板 · 液冷硅油+新能源胶+密封胶
  • 容量核心杭电股份1板 · 半年报高增+光通信+铜箔扩产
  • 前排助攻远东股份1板 · 算力AI订单+液冷散热+光纤互联
液冷硅油液冷服务器算力AI订单液冷散热光纤互联数据中心

次日确认容量核心不出现大幅负反馈,且液冷、算力、光通信三个分支至少两个继续有涨停。

失效信号高成交核心低开低走,题材涨停缩至3家以下,或只剩一字小票维持高度。

负反馈未录得该题材跌停样本

资金证据未获取历史截面,缺失不计分

02次主线高低分化

化工 / 新材料

91结构强度
涨停 8高度 3板活跃 5/5日持续性 88
308-27
708-28
508-31
309-01
809-02

近5日涨停覆盖

核心梯队与次日验证
  • 高度核心集泰股份3板 · 液冷硅油+新能源胶+密封胶
  • 容量核心沃特股份1板 · PTFE薄膜+人形机器人+特种高分子
  • 前排助攻英力特2板 · 控制权变更+复牌+氯碱化工
氯碱化工多元醇液冷硅油密封胶三氟化硼六氟磷酸锂

次日确认高位负反馈收敛,材料分支保持涨停宽度,板块指数重新站回短期均线。

失效信号化学原料、农化跌停继续扩散,涨停只剩重组驱动的孤立个股。

负反馈金浦钛业-10.13%、红四方-10.00%、新农股份-10.00%

资金证据未获取历史截面,缺失不计分

03次主线发酵

机器人

81结构强度
涨停 8高度 1板活跃 5/5日持续性 80
508-27
408-28
1108-31
209-01
809-02

近5日涨停覆盖

核心梯队与次日验证
  • 高度核心沃特股份1板 · PTFE薄膜+人形机器人+特种高分子
  • 容量核心光洋股份1板 · 人形机器人+PCB收购+半年报增长
  • 前排助攻哈森股份1板 · 苹果产业链+机器人+资产重组+中报扭亏
机器人概念人形机器人机器人机器视觉

次日确认建设工业、金帝股份等高辨识度标的承接稳定,并出现首板扩散。

失效信号前排开板后无回封,新增首板消失,题材重新退回零散个股行情。

负反馈未录得该题材跌停样本

资金证据未获取历史截面,缺失不计分

04次主线发酵

军工 / 兵装重组

68结构强度
涨停 6高度 2板活跃 3/5日持续性 56
108-27
008-28
008-31
109-01
609-02

近5日涨停覆盖

核心梯队与次日验证
  • 高度核心内蒙一机2板 · 军工装备+军贸+铁路货车+兵装重组
  • 容量核心长城军工1板 · 弹药装备+军贸订单+兵装重组+央企背景
  • 前排助攻博云新材1板 · 军工+航天材料+硬质合金
兵装重组军工装备军贸弹药装备军贸订单航空航天

次日确认兵装重组分支保持2板高度,军工材料与装备端继续扩散。

失效信号建设工业、内蒙一机、长城军工集体断板且无低位补涨。

负反馈未录得该题材跌停样本

资金证据未获取历史截面,缺失不计分

05事件线扩散

并购重组 / 控制权

86结构强度
涨停 8高度 2板活跃 5/5日持续性 84
308-27
208-28
208-31
409-01
809-02

近5日涨停覆盖

核心梯队与次日验证
  • 高度核心英力特2板 · 控制权变更+复牌+氯碱化工
  • 容量核心高新发展1板 · 功率半导体+此前拟收购华鲲振宇股权+虚拟电厂+成都国资
  • 前排助攻光洋股份1板 · 人形机器人+PCB收购+半年报增长
控制权变更股权转让完成司法拍卖并购重组此前拟收购华鲲振宇股权PCB收购

次日确认重组标的由独立事件扩散为同方向换手板,并维持至少2板高度。

失效信号复牌或一字个股开板即兑现,事件股之间没有联动承接。

负反馈未录得该题材跌停样本

资金证据未获取历史截面,缺失不计分

06轮动试强

电网 / 能源设备

65结构强度
涨停 4高度 1板活跃 5/5日持续性 72
108-27
208-28
108-31
109-01
409-02

近5日涨停覆盖

核心梯队与次日验证
  • 高度核心京能热力1板 · 热力+综合能源+北京国资+半年报增长
  • 容量核心太阳电缆1板 · 海底电缆+电线电缆+数据中心+国防配套
  • 前排助攻神马电力1板 · 电网设备+特高压+海外拓展
海底电缆电线电缆综合能源电网设备特高压光伏储能

次日确认电网设备涨停宽度继续扩大并产生2板,容量标的同步放量承接。

失效信号仍无连板高度,首板次日普遍无溢价,板块退回快速轮动。

负反馈未录得该题材跌停样本

资金证据未获取历史截面,缺失不计分

轮动

汽车零部件

4家 · 试强

5日:2 → 0 → 2 → 0 → 4

退潮

消费 / 零售

5家 · 缩容

5日:2 → 2 → 4 → 12 → 5

退潮

文化传媒

3家 · 缩容

5日:0 → 1 → 13 → 9 → 3

行业涨停结构

行业只是题材证据之一,不等同市场主线

01
汽车零部5 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
建设工业 · 飞龙股份 · 光洋股份
02
电网设备4 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
远东股份 · 太阳电缆 · 神马电力
03
服装家纺3 涨停 · 1 炸 · 0 跌停
九牧王 · 康隆达 · 哈森股份
04
IT服务Ⅱ2 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
竞业达 · 大位科技
05
一般零售2 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
国芳集团 · 茂业商业
06
塑料2 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
道明光学 · 沃特股份
07
地面兵装2 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
内蒙一机 · 长城军工
08
玻璃玻纤2 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
山东玻纤 · 九鼎新材
09
通用设备2 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
雪人集团 · 金帝股份
10
航空装备2 涨停 · 0 炸 · 0 跌停
博云新材 · 晟楠科技
4板+10.01%

国芳集团

601086 · 一般零售

首封 09:25炸板 0次
4板+10.01%

竞业达

003005 · IT服务Ⅱ

首封 09:25炸板 0次
3板+9.94%

欢瑞世纪

000892 · 影视院线

首封 09:25炸板 0次
3板+10.08%

大晟文化

600892 · 游戏Ⅱ

首封 09:25炸板 0次
3板+9.97%

集泰股份

002909 · 化学制品

首封 09:25炸板 0次
3板+10.02%

龙版传媒

605577 · 出版

首封 09:38炸板 0次
2板+10.01%

内蒙一机

600967 · 地面兵装

首封 09:34炸板 0次
2板+9.97%

英 力 特

000635 · 化学原料

首封 09:25炸板 0次

化工板块温度

盘中验证快照 · 不冒充收盘

化学原料BK1019
-1.72%14:41附近盘中快照
其他化学原料BK1420
-2.98%14:41附近盘中快照
化学制品BK0538
-0.51%14:16附近盘中快照
农化制品BK0731
-2.28%14:16附近盘中快照

明日作战图

条件触发,而非确定预测

强势修复

指数快速收复今日实体上沿,成交不显著萎缩,主线龙头负反馈收敛。

仓位向5成靠拢 · 只做核心分歧转强

震荡轮动

指数围绕前收反复,板块快速切换,涨停结构尚存但追高反馈一般。

维持3—5成 · 少做后排

继续退潮

成长指数再破低点,高位股扩大亏钱效应,炸板和跌停继续增加。

降至3成以下 · 等待冰点

多空对抗验证

把相反证据放在同一屏

多头证据仍在

  • 涨停仍有52家,活跃资金没有完全退场。
  • 最高连板4板,题材高度尚存。
  • 若次日指数修复,汽车零部件、电网设备等强结构可能回流。

空头证据更重

  • 主要指数全部收跌,创业板跌幅最大。
  • 昨日涨停均值-0.76%,接力赚钱效应偏弱。
  • 化工细分盘中普遍走弱,个股强势不能代表板块普涨。
数据来源、口径与缺失项
  • 指数与个股行情:通达信TCP
  • 涨跌停/炸板/昨日涨停:东财push2ex
  • 板块K线:东财push2his;部分源可能降级
  • 两市成交额采用上证与深证指数显示成交额相加,口径以数据源为准
  • 化工板块数据为当日14:16—14:41盘中已验证快照,非最终收盘;页面明确标注
结构化原始数据
{
  "indices": [
    {
      "code": "000001",
      "name": "上证指数",
      "price": 3941.39,
      "change_pct": -0.97,
      "open": 3963.07,
      "high": 3965.81,
      "low": 3932.25,
      "amount_yi": 8353.68
    },
    {
      "code": "399001",
      "name": "深证成指",
      "price": 13611.55,
      "change_pct": -1.88,
      "open": 13732.18,
      "high": 13732.18,
      "low": 13549.77,
      "amount_yi": 9558.11
    },
    {
      "code": "399006",
      "name": "创业板指",
      "price": 3312.24,
      "change_pct": -2.39,
      "open": 3347.6800000000003,
      "high": 3348.69,
      "low": 3296.48,
      "amount_yi": 4420.89
    },
    {
      "code": "000688",
      "name": "科创50",
      "price": 1617.6,
      "change_pct": -1.82,
      "open": 1623.53,
      "high": 1635.76,
      "low": 1607.19,
      "amount_yi": 643.42
    },
    {
      "code": "000300",
      "name": "沪深300",
      "price": 4547.96,
      "change_pct": -1.38,
      "open": 4581.51,
      "high": 4583.27,
      "low": 4534.39,
      "amount_yi": 4746.8
    },
    {
      "code": "000905",
      "name": "中证500",
      "price": 7729.23,
      "change_pct": -1.65,
      "open": 7781.29,
      "high": 7783.05,
      "low": 7692.150000000001,
      "amount_yi": 3073.4
    },
    {
      "code": "000852",
      "name": "中证1000",
      "price": 7583.76,
      "change_pct": -1.4,
      "open": 7616.2300000000005,
      "high": 7624.71,
      "low": 7539.08,
      "amount_yi": 3687.44
    }
  ],
  "emotion": {
    "limit_up": 52,
    "broken": 15,
    "limit_down": 8,
    "break_rate": 22.4,
    "max_height": 4,
    "ladder": {
      "2": 7,
      "3": 4,
      "1": 39,
      "4": 2
    },
    "yesterday_limit_count": 83,
    "yesterday_limit_avg": -0.76,
    "yesterday_limit_positive_rate": 37.3
  },
  "sector_pool": [
    {
      "name": "汽车零部",
      "limit_up": 5,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "建设工业",
        "飞龙股份",
        "光洋股份"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "电网设备",
      "limit_up": 4,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "远东股份",
        "太阳电缆",
        "神马电力"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "服装家纺",
      "limit_up": 3,
      "broken": 1,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "九牧王",
        "康隆达",
        "哈森股份"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "IT服务Ⅱ",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "竞业达",
        "大位科技"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "一般零售",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "国芳集团",
        "茂业商业"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "塑料",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "道明光学",
        "沃特股份"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "地面兵装",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "内蒙一机",
        "长城军工"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "玻璃玻纤",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "山东玻纤",
        "九鼎新材"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "通用设备",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "雪人集团",
        "金帝股份"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "航空装备",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "博云新材",
        "晟楠科技"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "化学原料",
      "limit_up": 2,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 1,
      "leaders": [
        "英 力 特",
        "华昌化工"
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "化学制品",
      "limit_up": 1,
      "broken": 0,
      "limit_down": 0,
      "leaders": [
        "集泰股份"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "top_limits": [
    {
      "code": "601086",
      "name": "国芳集团",
      "pct": 10.01,
      "limit_days": 4,
      "first_seal": "092500",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "一般零售"
    },
    {
      "code": "003005",
      "name": "竞业达",
      "pct": 10.01,
      "limit_days": 4,
      "first_seal": "092500",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "IT服务Ⅱ"
    },
    {
      "code": "000892",
      "name": "欢瑞世纪",
      "pct": 9.94,
      "limit_days": 3,
      "first_seal": "092500",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "影视院线"
    },
    {
      "code": "600892",
      "name": "大晟文化",
      "pct": 10.08,
      "limit_days": 3,
      "first_seal": "092503",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "游戏Ⅱ"
    },
    {
      "code": "002909",
      "name": "集泰股份",
      "pct": 9.97,
      "limit_days": 3,
      "first_seal": "092500",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "化学制品"
    },
    {
      "code": "605577",
      "name": "龙版传媒",
      "pct": 10.02,
      "limit_days": 3,
      "first_seal": "093805",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "出版"
    },
    {
      "code": "600967",
      "name": "内蒙一机",
      "pct": 10.01,
      "limit_days": 2,
      "first_seal": "093445",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "地面兵装"
    },
    {
      "code": "000635",
      "name": "英 力 特",
      "pct": 9.97,
      "limit_days": 2,
      "first_seal": "092500",
      "breaks": 0,
      "industry": "化学原料"
    },
    {
      "code": "002104",
      "name": "恒宝股份",
      "pct": 10.02,
      "limit_days": 2,
      "first_seal": "101942",
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "通信设备"
    },
    {
      "code": "600828",
      "name": "茂业商业",
      "pct": 10.07,
      "limit_days": 2,
      "first_seal": "092501",
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "一般零售"
    },
    {
      "code": "600830",
      "name": "香溢融通",
      "pct": 9.97,
      "limit_days": 2,
      "first_seal": "093133",
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "多元金融"
    },
    {
      "code": "603207",
      "name": "小方制药",
      "pct": 10.0,
      "limit_days": 2,
      "first_seal": "093044",
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "化学制药"
    }
  ],
  "broken_examples": [
    {
      "code": "002490",
      "name": "山东墨龙",
      "pct": 3.95,
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "专用设备"
    },
    {
      "code": "002679",
      "name": "福建金森",
      "pct": -5.19,
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "林业Ⅱ"
    },
    {
      "code": "600121",
      "name": "郑州煤电",
      "pct": -1.85,
      "breaks": 2,
      "industry": "煤炭开采"
    },
    {
      "code": "600540",
      "name": "新赛股份",
      "pct": 9.97,
      "breaks": 6,
      "industry": "种植业"
    },
    {
      "code": "600792",
      "name": "云煤能源",
      "pct": -2.71,
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "焦炭Ⅱ"
    },
    {
      "code": "000520",
      "name": "凤凰航运",
      "pct": -0.95,
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "航运港口"
    },
    {
      "code": "603221",
      "name": "爱丽家居",
      "pct": 9.23,
      "breaks": 1,
      "industry": "家居用品"
    },
    {
      "code": "603721",
      "name": "中广天择",
      "pct": 2.28,
      "breaks": 2,
      "industry": "影视院线"
    }
  ],
  "limit_down_examples": [
    {
      "code": "000545",
      "name": "金浦钛业",
      "pct": -10.13,
      "industry": "化学原料"
    },
    {
      "code": "603395",
      "name": "红四方",
      "pct": -10.0,
      "industry": "农化制品"
    },
    {
      "code": "000713",
      "name": "国投丰乐",
      "pct": -9.94,
      "industry": "种植业"
    },
    {
      "code": "002942",
      "name": "新农股份",
      "pct": -10.0,
      "industry": "农化制品"
    },
    {
      "code": "600354",
      "name": "敦煌种业",
      "pct": -9.98,
      "industry": "种植业"
    },
    {
      "code": "002742",
      "name": "冀衡医药",
      "pct": -10.02,
      "industry": "化学制药"
    },
    {
      "code": "600613",
      "name": "神奇制药",
      "pct": -10.04,
      "industry": "化学制药"
    },
    {
      "code": "605179",
      "name": "一鸣食品",
      "pct": -10.01,
      "industry": "饮料乳品"
    }
  ],
  "sectors": [
    {
      "code": "BK1019",
      "name": "化学原料",
      "change_pct": -1.72,
      "close": 1081.3,
      "source_note": "14:41附近盘中快照"
    },
    {
      "code": "BK1420",
      "name": "其他化学原料",
      "change_pct": -2.98,
      "close": 3287.84,
      "amount_yi": 45.84,
      "ret5": 1.49,
      "ret10": 5.19,
      "ma5": 3313.38,
      "above_ma5": false,
      "source_note": "14:41附近盘中快照"
    },
    {
      "code": "BK0538",
      "name": "化学制品",
      "change_pct": -0.51,
      "close": 31999.6,
      "amount_yi": 355.85,
      "source_note": "14:16附近盘中快照"
    },
    {
      "code": "BK0731",
      "name": "农化制品",
      "change_pct": -2.28,
      "close": 1740.58,
      "amount_yi": 196.06,
      "source_note": "14:16附近盘中快照"
    }
  ],
  "market": {
    "date": "2026-09-02",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-02 17:05 CST",
    "total_amount_yi": 17911.79,
    "breadth": {
      "available": false,
      "note": "全市场涨跌家数接口当次返回502,未纳入评分"
    },
    "data_notes": [
      "指数与个股行情:通达信TCP",
      "涨跌停/炸板/昨日涨停:东财push2ex",
      "板块K线:东财push2his;部分源可能降级",
      "两市成交额采用上证与深证指数显示成交额相加,口径以数据源为准",
      "化工板块数据为当日14:16—14:41盘中已验证快照,非最终收盘;页面明确标注"
    ]
  },
  "assessment": {
    "score": 50,
    "regime": "震荡轮动",
    "risk": "偏高",
    "recommended_position": "3—5成",
    "summary": "指数普跌,成长方向承压;涨停仍有52家,但炸板15家、跌停8家,高位题材出现明显分化。",
    "confidence": "中等(市场广度缺失)"
  },
  "market_themes": {
    "source": "同花顺涨停原因(2026-08-27至2026-09-02)+ 东方财富涨停/跌停池(2026-09-02)",
    "method": "跨行业聚合同花顺涨停原因;结合5日涨停覆盖、当日宽度、连板高度与开板结构评分。个股可跨题材重复计入。",
    "score_note": "结构分用于横向比较题材强弱,不代表未来收益率。历史板块资金缺失时不计资金分。",
    "primary": "AI基础设施 / 液冷",
    "items": [
      {
        "name": "AI基础设施 / 液冷",
        "status": "主线",
        "stage": "延续 / 分化",
        "strength_score": 92,
        "continuity_score": 90,
        "limit_up_count": 9,
        "max_board": 3,
        "active_days": 5,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 17
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 14
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 23
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 9
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "002909",
            "name": "集泰股份",
            "board": 3,
            "reason": "液冷硅油+新能源胶+密封胶"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "603618",
            "name": "杭电股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "半年报高增+光通信+铜箔扩产"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "600869",
            "name": "远东股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "算力AI订单+液冷散热+光纤互联"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "液冷硅油",
          "液冷服务器",
          "算力AI订单",
          "液冷散热",
          "光纤互联",
          "数据中心"
        ],
        "confirmation": "容量核心不出现大幅负反馈,且液冷、算力、光通信三个分支至少两个继续有涨停。",
        "failure_signals": "高成交核心低开低走,题材涨停缩至3家以下,或只剩一字小票维持高度。",
        "negative_feedback": [],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "化工 / 新材料",
        "status": "次主线",
        "stage": "高低分化",
        "strength_score": 91,
        "continuity_score": 88,
        "limit_up_count": 8,
        "max_board": 3,
        "active_days": 5,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 3
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 7
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 5
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 3
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 8
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "002909",
            "name": "集泰股份",
            "board": 3,
            "reason": "液冷硅油+新能源胶+密封胶"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "002886",
            "name": "沃特股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "PTFE薄膜+人形机器人+特种高分子"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "000635",
            "name": "英力特",
            "board": 2,
            "reason": "控制权变更+复牌+氯碱化工"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "氯碱化工",
          "多元醇",
          "液冷硅油",
          "密封胶",
          "三氟化硼",
          "六氟磷酸锂"
        ],
        "confirmation": "高位负反馈收敛,材料分支保持涨停宽度,板块指数重新站回短期均线。",
        "failure_signals": "化学原料、农化跌停继续扩散,涨停只剩重组驱动的孤立个股。",
        "negative_feedback": [
          {
            "code": "000545",
            "name": "金浦钛业",
            "pct": -10.13,
            "industry": "化学原料"
          },
          {
            "code": "603395",
            "name": "红四方",
            "pct": -10.0,
            "industry": "农化制品"
          },
          {
            "code": "002942",
            "name": "新农股份",
            "pct": -10.0,
            "industry": "农化制品"
          }
        ],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "机器人",
        "status": "次主线",
        "stage": "发酵",
        "strength_score": 81,
        "continuity_score": 80,
        "limit_up_count": 8,
        "max_board": 1,
        "active_days": 5,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 5
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 4
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 11
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 8
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "002886",
            "name": "沃特股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "PTFE薄膜+人形机器人+特种高分子"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "002708",
            "name": "光洋股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "人形机器人+PCB收购+半年报增长"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "603958",
            "name": "哈森股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "苹果产业链+机器人+资产重组+中报扭亏"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "机器人概念",
          "人形机器人",
          "机器人",
          "机器视觉"
        ],
        "confirmation": "建设工业、金帝股份等高辨识度标的承接稳定,并出现首板扩散。",
        "failure_signals": "前排开板后无回封,新增首板消失,题材重新退回零散个股行情。",
        "negative_feedback": [],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "军工 / 兵装重组",
        "status": "次主线",
        "stage": "发酵",
        "strength_score": 68,
        "continuity_score": 56,
        "limit_up_count": 6,
        "max_board": 2,
        "active_days": 3,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 1
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 0
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 0
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 1
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 6
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "600967",
            "name": "内蒙一机",
            "board": 2,
            "reason": "军工装备+军贸+铁路货车+兵装重组"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "601606",
            "name": "长城军工",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "弹药装备+军贸订单+兵装重组+央企背景"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "002297",
            "name": "博云新材",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "军工+航天材料+硬质合金"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "兵装重组",
          "军工装备",
          "军贸",
          "弹药装备",
          "军贸订单",
          "航空航天"
        ],
        "confirmation": "兵装重组分支保持2板高度,军工材料与装备端继续扩散。",
        "failure_signals": "建设工业、内蒙一机、长城军工集体断板且无低位补涨。",
        "negative_feedback": [],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "并购重组 / 控制权",
        "status": "事件线",
        "stage": "扩散",
        "strength_score": 86,
        "continuity_score": 84,
        "limit_up_count": 8,
        "max_board": 2,
        "active_days": 5,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 3
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 4
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 8
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "000635",
            "name": "英力特",
            "board": 2,
            "reason": "控制权变更+复牌+氯碱化工"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "000628",
            "name": "高新发展",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "功率半导体+此前拟收购华鲲振宇股权+虚拟电厂+成都国资"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "002708",
            "name": "光洋股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "人形机器人+PCB收购+半年报增长"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "控制权变更",
          "股权转让完成",
          "司法拍卖",
          "并购重组",
          "此前拟收购华鲲振宇股权",
          "PCB收购"
        ],
        "confirmation": "重组标的由独立事件扩散为同方向换手板,并维持至少2板高度。",
        "failure_signals": "复牌或一字个股开板即兑现,事件股之间没有联动承接。",
        "negative_feedback": [],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "电网 / 能源设备",
        "status": "轮动",
        "stage": "试强",
        "strength_score": 65,
        "continuity_score": 72,
        "limit_up_count": 4,
        "max_board": 1,
        "active_days": 5,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 1
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 1
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 1
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 4
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "002893",
            "name": "京能热力",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "热力+综合能源+北京国资+半年报增长"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "002300",
            "name": "太阳电缆",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "海底电缆+电线电缆+数据中心+国防配套"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "603530",
            "name": "神马电力",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "电网设备+特高压+海外拓展"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "海底电缆",
          "电线电缆",
          "综合能源",
          "电网设备",
          "特高压",
          "光伏储能"
        ],
        "confirmation": "电网设备涨停宽度继续扩大并产生2板,容量标的同步放量承接。",
        "failure_signals": "仍无连板高度,首板次日普遍无溢价,板块退回快速轮动。",
        "negative_feedback": [],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "汽车零部件",
        "status": "轮动",
        "stage": "试强",
        "strength_score": 55,
        "continuity_score": 48,
        "limit_up_count": 4,
        "max_board": 1,
        "active_days": 3,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 0
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 0
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 4
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "002536",
            "name": "飞龙股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "液冷订单+服务器液冷+汽车热管理"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "603270",
            "name": "金帝股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "液冷散热+人形机器人+电驱动定转子"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "603701",
            "name": "德宏股份",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "商用车发电机+储能+业绩增长"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "汽车热管理",
          "电驱动定转子",
          "新能源汽配",
          "汽车零部件",
          "商用车发电机"
        ],
        "confirmation": "飞龙股份或金帝股份走出持续性,低位汽配首板继续增加。",
        "failure_signals": "容量核心冲高回落且板块无法形成2板,高开低走后迅速轮出。",
        "negative_feedback": [],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "消费 / 零售",
        "status": "退潮",
        "stage": "缩容",
        "strength_score": 81,
        "continuity_score": 86,
        "limit_up_count": 5,
        "max_board": 4,
        "active_days": 5,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 2
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 4
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 12
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 5
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "601086",
            "name": "国芳集团",
            "board": 4,
            "reason": "连锁零售+新零售+半年报增长"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "601566",
            "name": "九牧王",
            "board": 1,
            "reason": "男裤龙头+零售消费+太空裤"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "600828",
            "name": "茂业商业",
            "board": 2,
            "reason": "百货零售+商业REITs+商管转型"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "百货零售",
          "连锁零售",
          "新零售",
          "男裤龙头",
          "零售消费",
          "文旅科技"
        ],
        "confirmation": "国芳集团高位换手后回封,零售首板重新扩散且昨日涨停反馈转正。",
        "failure_signals": "4板核心断板,低位零售与文旅没有补涨,数量继续降至2家以下。",
        "negative_feedback": [
          {
            "code": "605179",
            "name": "一鸣食品",
            "pct": -10.01,
            "industry": "饮料乳品"
          }
        ],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      },
      {
        "name": "文化传媒",
        "status": "退潮",
        "stage": "缩容",
        "strength_score": 63,
        "continuity_score": 66,
        "limit_up_count": 3,
        "max_board": 3,
        "active_days": 4,
        "five_day_counts": [
          {
            "date": "2026-08-27",
            "count": 0
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-28",
            "count": 1
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-08-31",
            "count": 13
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-01",
            "count": 9
          },
          {
            "date": "2026-09-02",
            "count": 3
          }
        ],
        "leaders": [
          {
            "role": "高度核心",
            "code": "605577",
            "name": "龙版传媒",
            "board": 3,
            "reason": "AI漫剧+出版发行+黑龙江国资"
          },
          {
            "role": "容量核心",
            "code": "000892",
            "name": "欢瑞世纪",
            "board": 3,
            "reason": "AIGC影视+互动影游+影视制作"
          },
          {
            "role": "前排助攻",
            "code": "600892",
            "name": "大晟文化",
            "board": 3,
            "reason": "短剧+网络游戏+异常波动"
          }
        ],
        "reason_tags": [
          "AIGC影视",
          "互动影游",
          "影视制作",
          "短剧",
          "网络游戏",
          "AI漫剧"
        ],
        "confirmation": "欢瑞世纪、大晟文化或龙版传媒至少两只维持晋级,传媒首板重新扩散。",
        "failure_signals": "三只高标全部断板且板块涨停数量降至1家以内。",
        "negative_feedback": [],
        "fund_flow": null,
        "evidence_note": "同花顺涨停原因标签 + 东财涨停高度/开板结构;历史板块资金未获取"
      }
    ]
  }
}